Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002835 0.003037 0.003255 0.003512 0.003807 0.004138 0.004542
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002552 0.002827 0.003143 0.003542 0.004041 0.004658 0.005508
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002319 0.002628 0.002999 0.003491 0.004148 0.005032 0.006387
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002209 0.002554 0.002986 0.003588 0.004447 0.005707 0.007904
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002111 0.002480 0.002958 0.003653 0.004703 0.006378 0.009717
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001986 0.002358 0.002851 0.003587 0.004747 0.006715 0.011101
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001861 0.002226 0.002714 0.003460 0.004670 0.006819 0.012050
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001788 0.002157 0.002661 0.003448 0.004775 0.007281 0.014221
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001660 0.002005 0.002477 0.003220 0.004477 0.006880 0.013693
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001615 0.001967 0.002455 0.003239 0.004615 0.007411 0.016581
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001593 0.001956 0.002471 0.003321 0.004879 0.008306 0.022282
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001553 0.001919 0.002444 0.003327 0.004998 0.008906 0.028289
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001526 0.001901 0.002449 0.003395 0.005268 0.010070 0.044490
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001483 0.001858 0.002412 0.003386 0.005379 0.010861 0.068284
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001431 0.001800 0.002348 0.003325 0.005366 0.011265 0.099635
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001414 0.001792 0.002364 0.003408 0.005697 0.013129 0.754936
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001393 0.001777 0.002365 0.003465 0.005982 0.015143 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001351 0.001727 0.002308 0.003404 0.005958 0.015750 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001301 0.001664 0.002226 0.003288 0.005774 0.015425 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001273 0.001635 0.002198 0.003277 0.005868 0.016738 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001211 0.001550 0.002074 0.003067 0.005400 0.014544 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001193 0.001533 0.002064 0.003085 0.005555 0.016152 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001186 0.001533 0.002082 0.003160 0.005887 0.019452 NaN